🗳️ Elections
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Oct 1, 2027
Live
Resolves Oct 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
84%
No
16%
No (16%)Yes (84%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
$2k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 84%. Kalshi has moved up 33pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Howard Lutnick leaves as Commerce Secretary before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary?
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jan 1, 2029
98%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jul 1, 2028
97%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jan 1, 2028
92%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jul 1, 2027
80%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Apr 1, 2027
74%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Feb 1, 2027
73%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Mar 1, 2027
70%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Jan 1, 2027
47%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Dec 1, 2026
24%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Nov 26, 2026
19%
Howard Lutnick out as Commerce Secretary? — Before Nov 20, 2026
11%
Resolution
Oct 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen