🗳️ Elections
Texas Senate: margin of victory
Texas Senate: margin of victory — Ken Paxton, 6-8%
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$15k
Liquidity
$19k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 1%.
About this market
If the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Texas Senate: margin of victory
Texas Senate: margin of victory — James Talarico, 2-4%
21%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — James Talarico, 0-2%
21%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — Ken Paxton, 0-2%
16%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — James Talarico, 4-6%
15%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — James Talarico, 6-8%
13%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — James Talarico, ≥8%
11%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — Ken Paxton, 2-4%
9%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — Ken Paxton, 4-6%
4%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — Ken Paxton, ≥8%
1%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$15k
Liquidity$19k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen