🗳️ Elections
Texas Senate: margin of victory
Texas Senate: margin of victory — James Talarico, ≥8%
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
11%
No
89%
No (89%)Yes (11%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$20k
Liquidity
$25k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 11%. Kalshi has moved up 9pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the margin of victory for James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas is at or above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Texas Senate: margin of victory
Texas Senate: margin of victory — James Talarico, 0-2%
21%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — James Talarico, 2-4%
21%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — James Talarico, 4-6%
14%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — Ken Paxton, 0-2%
12%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — James Talarico, 6-8%
12%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — Ken Paxton, 2-4%
11%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — Ken Paxton, 4-6%
5%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — Ken Paxton, 6-8%
3%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — Ken Paxton, ≥8%
3%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$20k
Liquidity$25k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen