🗳️ Elections
Texas Senate: margin of victory
Texas Senate: margin of victory — James Talarico, 4-6%
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
22%
No
78%
No (78%)Yes (22%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$11k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 22%. Kalshi has moved up 9pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the margin of victory for James Talarico in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas is within 4% to 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Texas Senate: margin of victory
Texas Senate: margin of victory — James Talarico, 2-4%
20%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — James Talarico, 0-2%
20%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — James Talarico, 6-8%
17%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — Ken Paxton, 0-2%
16%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — James Talarico, ≥8%
9%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — Ken Paxton, 2-4%
8%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — Ken Paxton, 4-6%
5%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — Ken Paxton, 6-8%
3%
Texas Senate: margin of victory — Ken Paxton, ≥8%
3%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$11k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen