🗳️ Elections
Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 13+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$4
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 6%. Kalshi has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine by 13 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 1+ pts
54%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 3+ pts
37%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 1+ pts
37%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 3+ pts
29%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 5+ pts
20%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 7+ pts
20%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 5+ pts
13%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 7+ pts
10%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 9+ pts
9%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 11+ pts
9%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
6%
probability of YES
Kalshi
6%Check
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$4
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen