🗳️ Elections
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Greta Thunberg

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 4%.

About this market

If Greta Thunberg wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner

2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms
16%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Mykola Kuleba / Save Ukraine
9%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Save the Children
9%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Committee to Protect Journalists
6%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Court of Justice (ICJ)
5%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Criminal Court
5%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Space Station / ISS partnership
4%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Yulia Navalnaya
4%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Doctors Without Borders
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — UNRWA
3%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Mark Carney
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sara Al-Saqqa
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Reporters Without Borders (RSF)
2%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Association of Judges (IAJ)
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Francesca Albanese
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Narges Mohammadi
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Dario Amodei
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Sam Altman
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — European Union
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Elon Musk
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Donald Trump
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Pope Leo XIV
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Volodymyr Zelenskyy
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Minneapolis
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Campaign to Stop Killer Robots
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC)
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Chow Hang-tung
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Vanessa Nakate
1%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner — Yad Vashem
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
4%
probability of YES
Kalshi
4%Check
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen