🗳️ Elections
US-Iran nuclear deal?
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Dec 1, 2026
Live
Resolves Dec 1, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
7%
No
93%
No (93%)Yes (7%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$439
Liquidity
$152k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 7%.
About this market
If the United States has agreed to, signed, or accepted a new Iran-US nuclear deal before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · US-Iran nuclear deal?
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Jan 20, 2029
38%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Jan 1, 2028
35%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Mar 1, 2027
13%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Feb 1, 2027
12%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Jan 1, 2027
10%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Nov 1, 2026
3%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Oct 1, 2026
1%
Resolution
Dec 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$439
Liquidity$152k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen