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US-Iran nuclear deal?

US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
9%
No
91%
No (91%)Yes (9%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$490k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 9%.

About this market

If the United States has agreed to, signed, or accepted a new Iran-US nuclear deal before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · US-Iran nuclear deal?

US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Jan 20, 2029
47%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Jan 1, 2028
38%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Mar 1, 2027
20%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Feb 1, 2027
15%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Dec 1, 2026
7%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
9%
probability of YES
Kalshi
9%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$490k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen