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US-Iran nuclear deal?

US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Feb 1, 2027

Live
Resolves Feb 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
13%
No
87%
No (87%)Yes (13%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$47
Liquidity
$17k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 13%. Kalshi has moved down 5pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the United States has agreed to, signed, or accepted a new Iran-US nuclear deal before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · US-Iran nuclear deal?

US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Jan 20, 2029
37%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Jan 1, 2028
32%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Mar 1, 2027
23%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Jan 1, 2027
9%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Dec 1, 2026
6%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Nov 1, 2026
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
13%
probability of YES
Kalshi
13%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Feb 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$47
Liquidity$17k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen