🗳️ Elections
US-Iran nuclear deal?
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Jan 20, 2029
Live
Resolves Jan 20, 2029KalshiVolume-weighted avg
32%
No
68%
No (68%)Yes (32%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$66
Liquidity
$33k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 32%. Kalshi has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the United States has agreed to, signed, or accepted a new Iran-US nuclear deal before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · US-Iran nuclear deal?
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Jan 1, 2028
24%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Mar 1, 2027
11%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Feb 1, 2027
11%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Jan 1, 2027
8%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Dec 1, 2026
7%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Nov 1, 2026
3%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Oct 1, 2026
1%
Resolution
Jan 20, 2029
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$66
Liquidity$33k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen