🗳️ Elections
US-Iran nuclear deal?

US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Jan 20, 2029

Live
Resolves Jan 20, 2029Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
42%
No
58%
No (58%)Yes (42%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$690
Liquidity
$34k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 42%. Kalshi has moved up 10pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the United States has agreed to, signed, or accepted a new Iran-US nuclear deal before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · US-Iran nuclear deal?

US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Jan 1, 2028
35%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Mar 1, 2027
13%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Feb 1, 2027
12%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Jan 1, 2027
10%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Dec 1, 2026
8%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Nov 1, 2026
3%
US-Iran nuclear deal? — Before Oct 1, 2026
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
42%
probability of YES
Kalshi
42%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Jan 20, 2029
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$690
Liquidity$34k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen