🗳️ Elections

Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)

Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 26%

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Resolves Oct 4, 2027Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

95%

No (5%)Yes (95%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 95%.

About this market

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 26% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)

Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 33%

99%

Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 21%

99%

Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 42%

99%

Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 35%

99%

Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 39%

98%

Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 47%

96%

Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 29%

95%

Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 31%

93%

Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 37%

16%

Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 52%

15%

Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 56%

15%

Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 50%

11%

Brazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round) — At least 54%

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

95%

probability of YES

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Resolution

Oct 4, 2027

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity$251

CategoryElections

StatusOpen