🗳️ Elections
Texas Governor margin of victory
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 1+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
65%
No
35%
No (35%)Yes (65%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
$9k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 65%. Kalshi has moved down 10pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Texas Governor margin of victory
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 3+ pts
47%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 5+ pts
28%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 6+ pts
21%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 3+ pts
18%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 9+ pts
10%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 15+ pts
7%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 18+ pts
5%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 12+ pts
3%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 21+ pts
3%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity$9k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen