🗳️ Elections
Texas Governor margin of victory
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 5+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
31%
No
69%
No (69%)Yes (31%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$4k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 31%.
About this market
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Texas by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Texas Governor margin of victory
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 1+ pts
66%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 3+ pts
51%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 6+ pts
27%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 9+ pts
19%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Hinojosa, 3+ pts
18%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 15+ pts
7%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 12+ pts
6%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 18+ pts
5%
Texas Governor margin of victory — Abbott, 21+ pts
3%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen