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Time's Person of the Year for 2026

Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Donald Trump

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
10%
No
90%
No (90%)Yes (10%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$592
Liquidity
$76k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 10%. Kalshi has moved down 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Donald Trump is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Time's Person of the Year for 2026

Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Zohran Mamdani
27%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Mark Carney
19%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Pope Leo XIV
9%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — AI
9%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Benjamin Netanyahu
9%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Jeremy Hansen
8%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Dario Amodei
8%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Bad Bunny
7%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Abdul El-Sayed
6%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Christina Koch
6%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Lionel Messi
6%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Elon Musk
6%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Victor Glover
6%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Sam Altman
6%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Mojtaba Khamenei
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Reid Wiseman
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Taylor Swift
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Erika Kirk
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Hakeem Jeffries
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — James Talarico
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Shehbaz Sharif
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — ChatGPT
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Jerome Powell
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Péter Magyar
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Marco Rubio
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — James Stephen "Jimmy" Donaldson / MrBeast
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Steve Witkoff
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Jon Ossoff
3%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
10%
probability of YES
Kalshi
10%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$592
Liquidity$76k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen