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Time's Person of the Year for 2026

Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Zohran Mamdani

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
26%
No
74%
No (74%)Yes (26%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$153k
Liquidity
$412k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 26%. Kalshi has moved down 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Zohran Mamdani is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Time's Person of the Year for 2026

Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Mark Carney
20%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Pope Leo XIV
16%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Donald Trump
10%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — AI
9%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Dario Amodei
9%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Bad Bunny
7%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Benjamin Netanyahu
7%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Jeremy Hansen
7%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Victor Glover
6%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Elon Musk
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Reid Wiseman
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Mojtaba Khamenei
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Sam Altman
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Christina Koch
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Abdul El-Sayed
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Hakeem Jeffries
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Shehbaz Sharif
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Lionel Messi
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — ChatGPT
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Steve Witkoff
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Jared Kushner
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Jon Ossoff
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Christopher Nolan
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Erika Kirk
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Marco Rubio
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Jerome Powell
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — James Talarico
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — James Stephen "Jimmy" Donaldson / MrBeast
3%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
26%
probability of YES
Kalshi
26%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$153k
Liquidity$412k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen