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Time's Person of the Year for 2026

Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Zohran Mamdani

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
32%
No
68%
No (68%)Yes (32%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$30k
Liquidity
$500k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 32%. Kalshi has moved up 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Zohran Mamdani is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Time's Person of the Year for 2026

Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Pope Leo XIV
16%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — James Talarico
15%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Abdul El-Sayed
10%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Mark Carney
10%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Dario Amodei
8%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — AI
7%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Benjamin Netanyahu
6%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Victor Glover
6%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Elon Musk
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Christina Koch
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Donald Trump
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Reid Wiseman
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Mojtaba Khamenei
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Marco Rubio
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Xi Jinping
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Jon Ossoff
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Jeremy Hansen
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Sam Altman
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Taylor Swift
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Erika Kirk
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — James Stephen "Jimmy" Donaldson / MrBeast
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Shehbaz Sharif
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Bad Bunny
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Jerome Powell
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Pete Hegseth
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Bernie Sanders
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — JD Vance
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Hakeem Jeffries
3%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
32%
probability of YES
Kalshi
32%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$30k
Liquidity$500k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen