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Time's Person of the Year for 2026

Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Jerome Powell

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
3%
No
97%
No (97%)Yes (3%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$4k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 3%.

About this market

If Jerome Powell is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Time's Person of the Year for 2026

Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Zohran Mamdani
25%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Mark Carney
18%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Donald Trump
11%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Pope Leo XIV
9%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Dario Amodei
9%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — AI
9%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Benjamin Netanyahu
7%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Jeremy Hansen
7%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Bad Bunny
7%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Mojtaba Khamenei
6%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Victor Glover
6%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Reid Wiseman
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Christina Koch
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Taylor Swift
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Elon Musk
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Sam Altman
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — ChatGPT
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — James Talarico
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Shehbaz Sharif
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Abdul El-Sayed
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Hakeem Jeffries
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Lionel Messi
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Christopher Nolan
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Erika Kirk
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — James Stephen "Jimmy" Donaldson / MrBeast
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Marco Rubio
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Jared Kushner
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Susie Wiles
3%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
3%
probability of YES
Kalshi
3%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$4k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen