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Time's Person of the Year for 2026

Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$4k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 5%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Time's Person of the Year for 2026

Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Zohran Mamdani
29%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Mark Carney
17%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Pope Leo XIV
15%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Donald Trump
8%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Elon Musk
8%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Benjamin Netanyahu
8%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Dario Amodei
7%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Reid Wiseman
6%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Sam Altman
6%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — AI
6%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — James Talarico
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Victor Glover
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Christina Koch
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Marco Rubio
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Mojtaba Khamenei
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Hakeem Jeffries
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — ChatGPT
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Jeremy Hansen
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Xi Jinping
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Jerome Powell
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Péter Magyar
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Shehbaz Sharif
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Bad Bunny
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Alysa Liu
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Pete Hegseth
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Jon Ossoff
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Bernie Sanders
2%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — James Stephen "Jimmy" Donaldson / MrBeast
2%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Taylor Swift
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
5%
probability of YES
Kalshi
5%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$4k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen