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Time's Person of the Year for 2026

Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Dario Amodei

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
7%
No
93%
No (93%)Yes (7%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$24k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 7%.

About this market

If Dario Amodei is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Time's Person of the Year for 2026

Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Zohran Mamdani
31%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Pope Leo XIV
17%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — James Talarico
12%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Mark Carney
10%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Abdul El-Sayed
9%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Jon Ossoff
6%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Donald Trump
6%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Reid Wiseman
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Elon Musk
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Christina Koch
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Mojtaba Khamenei
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Bad Bunny
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — AI
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Xi Jinping
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Victor Glover
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Jeremy Hansen
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Benjamin Netanyahu
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — JD Vance
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Sam Altman
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Pete Hegseth
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Marco Rubio
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Erika Kirk
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — James Stephen "Jimmy" Donaldson / MrBeast
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Bernie Sanders
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Jerome Powell
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Hakeem Jeffries
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Alysa Liu
2%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — ChatGPT
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
7%
probability of YES
Kalshi
7%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$24k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen