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Time's Person of the Year for 2026

Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Pete Hegseth

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$32
Liquidity
$1k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 2%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Pete Hegseth is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Time's Person of the Year for 2026

Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Zohran Mamdani
31%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Pope Leo XIV
18%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Mark Carney
16%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Donald Trump
9%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — James Talarico
9%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Elon Musk
7%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Dario Amodei
7%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — AI
6%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Marco Rubio
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Christina Koch
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Sam Altman
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Abdul El-Sayed
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Victor Glover
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Hakeem Jeffries
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Mojtaba Khamenei
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Bad Bunny
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Xi Jinping
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Jeremy Hansen
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — ChatGPT
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Shehbaz Sharif
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Taylor Swift
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Alysa Liu
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Bernie Sanders
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Benjamin Netanyahu
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Reid Wiseman
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Péter Magyar
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Jerome Powell
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — James Stephen "Jimmy" Donaldson / MrBeast
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
2%
probability of YES
Kalshi
2%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$32
Liquidity$1k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen