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Time's Person of the Year for 2026

Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Abdul El-Sayed

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
11%
No
89%
No (89%)Yes (11%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$11k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 11%. Kalshi has moved up 5pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Abdul El-Sayed is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Time's Person of the Year for 2026

Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Zohran Mamdani
29%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Pope Leo XIV
17%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — James Talarico
13%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Mark Carney
12%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Dario Amodei
7%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Jon Ossoff
6%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Reid Wiseman
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Donald Trump
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Christina Koch
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — AI
5%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Xi Jinping
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Bad Bunny
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Victor Glover
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Elon Musk
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Mojtaba Khamenei
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Jeremy Hansen
4%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Hakeem Jeffries
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Péter Magyar
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — JD Vance
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Marco Rubio
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Pete Hegseth
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Bernie Sanders
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Jerome Powell
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Erika Kirk
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — James Stephen "Jimmy" Donaldson / MrBeast
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — ChatGPT
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Benjamin Netanyahu
3%
Time's Person of the Year for 2026 — Lionel Messi
2%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
11%
probability of YES
Kalshi
11%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$11k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen