🗳️ Elections
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Howard Lutnick
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
23%
No
77%
No (77%)Yes (23%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$506
Liquidity
$97k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 23%. Kalshi has moved down 5pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Howard Lutnick leaves as Secretary of Commerce before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Pete Hegseth
35%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Amy Gleason
33%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Doug Collins
27%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kash Patel
26%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Susie Wiles
25%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Bill Pulte
23%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Chris Wright
21%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kelly Loeffler
21%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Mike Huckabee
18%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Steve Witkoff
18%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Linda McMahon
18%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Rodney Scott
18%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Brendan Carr
16%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Marco Rubio
16%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Sean Duffy
16%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Doug Burgum
15%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Brooke Rollins
14%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Lee Zeldin
14%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Peter Navarro
14%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — John Ratcliffe
14%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Jamieson Greer
13%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Scott Bessent
13%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Steven Cheung
13%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Tom Homan
13%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Russell Vought
13%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Mehmet Oz
13%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Scott Turner
13%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
12%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Stephen Miller
11%
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$506
Liquidity$97k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen