🗳️ Elections
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
27%
No
73%
No (73%)Yes (27%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$92k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 27%. Kalshi has moved up 12pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leaves as HHS Secretary before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Ric Grenell
59%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Susie Wiles
54%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Mike Waltz
40%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Pete Hegseth
39%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Amy Gleason
36%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kevin Hassett
34%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Tilman Fertitta
31%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Chris Wright
26%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Linda McMahon
24%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Steven Cheung
23%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Joe Gebbia
23%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Doug Collins
23%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Howard Lutnick
22%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Brooke Rollins
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Bill Pulte
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Steve Witkoff
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Scott Turner
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — John Ratcliffe
18%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Mike Huckabee
18%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kash Patel
17%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Marco Rubio
17%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Doug Burgum
17%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kelly Loeffler
17%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Peter Navarro
17%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Rodney Scott
16%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Stephen Miller
16%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Tom Homan
16%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Mehmet Oz
16%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Sean Duffy
16%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Russell Vought
16%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
27%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$92k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen