🗳️ Elections
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Mehmet Oz

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
14%
No
86%
No (86%)Yes (14%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$445
Liquidity
$9k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 14%. Kalshi has moved up 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Mehmet Oz leaves as CMS Administrator before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Pete Hegseth
58%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Susie Wiles
54%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Ric Grenell
52%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Amy Gleason
35%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Tilman Fertitta
30%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Mike Waltz
28%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Howard Lutnick
27%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Joe Gebbia
24%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Stephen Miller
23%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Steve Witkoff
22%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
21%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Bill Pulte
21%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kash Patel
21%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Chris Wright
21%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kevin Hassett
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Scott Turner
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Doug Collins
19%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Marco Rubio
19%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Brooke Rollins
19%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kelly Loeffler
19%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Mike Huckabee
19%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Peter Navarro
17%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — John Ratcliffe
17%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Doug Burgum
17%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Linda McMahon
17%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Russell Vought
16%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Rodney Scott
16%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Tom Homan
16%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Steven Cheung
15%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Lee Zeldin
14%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
14%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$445
Liquidity$9k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen