🗳️ Elections
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Doug Burgum

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
15%
No
85%
No (85%)Yes (15%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
Liquidity
$10k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 15%. Kalshi has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Doug Burgum leaves as Secretary of the Interior before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Amy Gleason
34%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Pete Hegseth
33%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Susie Wiles
24%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kash Patel
24%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Howard Lutnick
23%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Bill Pulte
23%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Chris Wright
21%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kelly Loeffler
21%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Mike Huckabee
19%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Linda McMahon
18%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Steve Witkoff
18%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Rodney Scott
18%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Sean Duffy
16%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Marco Rubio
16%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Brendan Carr
16%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Peter Navarro
14%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Brooke Rollins
14%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Lee Zeldin
14%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — John Ratcliffe
14%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Jamieson Greer
13%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Scott Bessent
13%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Steven Cheung
13%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
13%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Tom Homan
13%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Doug Collins
13%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Russell Vought
13%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Mehmet Oz
13%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Scott Turner
13%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Stephen Miller
11%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
15%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity$10k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen