🗳️ Elections
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kash Patel

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
21%
No
79%
No (79%)Yes (21%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$400k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 21%. Kalshi has moved up 4pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Kash Patel leaves as Director of the FBI before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Ric Grenell
67%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Susie Wiles
44%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Mike Waltz
44%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Pete Hegseth
36%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Amy Gleason
31%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kevin Hassett
30%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Tilman Fertitta
27%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Doug Collins
26%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Bill Pulte
24%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Joe Gebbia
21%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Mike Huckabee
21%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Linda McMahon
18%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Brooke Rollins
18%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Steve Witkoff
18%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Howard Lutnick
17%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
16%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Chris Wright
16%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Scott Turner
15%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kelly Loeffler
15%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Sean Duffy
14%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Tom Homan
14%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — John Ratcliffe
14%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Peter Navarro
14%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Russell Vought
13%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Rodney Scott
13%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Steven Cheung
12%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Jamieson Greer
12%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Doug Burgum
12%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Mehmet Oz
11%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Marco Rubio
10%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
21%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$400k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen