🗳️ Elections
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Russell Vought

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
16%
No
84%
No (84%)Yes (16%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$198
Liquidity
$4k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 16%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Russell Vought leaves as OMB Director before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Trent McCotter
66%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Christopher Landau
66%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Dan Caine
66%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Sergio Gor
66%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Todd Blanche
66%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Brad Cooper
66%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Stanley Woodward
66%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Ric Grenell
60%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Pete Hegseth
53%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Susie Wiles
47%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Marco Rubio
42%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Amy Gleason
38%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Tilman Fertitta
31%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Stephen Miller
26%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kevin Hassett
26%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Steve Witkoff
25%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Bill Pulte
24%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Howard Lutnick
23%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Chris Wright
23%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Brooke Rollins
22%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
21%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Mike Huckabee
21%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kash Patel
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Joe Gebbia
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Scott Turner
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kelly Loeffler
19%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Tom Homan
19%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Linda McMahon
19%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Doug Burgum
18%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Peter Navarro
18%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
16%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$198
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen