🗳️ Elections
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Scott Turner
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
20%
No
80%
No (80%)Yes (20%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$1
Liquidity
$3k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 20%. Kalshi has moved up 2pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Scott Turner leaves as Secretary of Housing and Urban Development before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Ric Grenell
59%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Susie Wiles
54%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Mike Waltz
40%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Pete Hegseth
39%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Amy Gleason
36%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kevin Hassett
34%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Tilman Fertitta
31%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
27%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Chris Wright
26%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Linda McMahon
24%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Joe Gebbia
23%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Doug Collins
23%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Steven Cheung
23%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Howard Lutnick
22%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Brooke Rollins
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Bill Pulte
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Steve Witkoff
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — John Ratcliffe
18%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Mike Huckabee
18%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kelly Loeffler
17%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Marco Rubio
17%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kash Patel
17%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Peter Navarro
17%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Doug Burgum
17%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Rodney Scott
16%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Sean Duffy
16%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Stephen Miller
16%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Russell Vought
16%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Tom Homan
16%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Mehmet Oz
16%
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen