🗳️ Elections
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Scott Turner
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
20%
No
80%
No (80%)Yes (20%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$14
Liquidity
$3k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 20%. Kalshi has moved up 6pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Scott Turner leaves as Secretary of Housing and Urban Development before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Todd Blanche
92%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Trent McCotter
52%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Stanley Woodward
47%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Ric Grenell
45%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Pete Hegseth
45%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Susie Wiles
40%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Amy Gleason
36%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Sergio Gor
36%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Dan Caine
33%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Mike Waltz
24%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Tilman Fertitta
24%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Howard Lutnick
23%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Steve Witkoff
23%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Brooke Rollins
22%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Marco Rubio
21%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Christopher Landau
21%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kevin Hassett
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Stephen Miller
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Rodney Scott
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kelly Loeffler
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Bill Pulte
19%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kash Patel
19%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Peter Navarro
18%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Tom Homan
18%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Linda McMahon
18%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
17%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Brad Cooper
17%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Joe Gebbia
17%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Doug Collins
16%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Jamieson Greer
15%
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$14
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen