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Florida Governor margin of victory

Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 2+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
18%
No
82%
No (82%)Yes (18%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$8k
Liquidity
$6k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 18%. Kalshi has moved up 9pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Florida Governor margin of victory

Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 0.5+ pts
79%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 1+ pts
64%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 1.5+ pts
58%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 2+ pts
56%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 2.5+ pts
52%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 3.5+ pts
51%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 3+ pts
45%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 5+ pts
30%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 4.5+ pts
29%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 5.5+ pts
28%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 4+ pts
27%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 1+ pts
26%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 7+ pts
17%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 8+ pts
14%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 3+ pts
12%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 10+ pts
12%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 6+ pts
12%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 4+ pts
10%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 9+ pts
10%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 12+ pts
8%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 5+ pts
7%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 6+ pts
7%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 15+ pts
6%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 18+ pts
4%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
18%
probability of YES
Kalshi
18%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$8k
Liquidity$6k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen