🗳️ Elections
Florida Governor margin of victory
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 4.5+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
40%
No
60%
No (60%)Yes (40%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
$3k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 40%.
About this market
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 4.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Florida Governor margin of victory
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 0.5+ pts
66%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 1+ pts
61%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 1.5+ pts
59%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 2+ pts
56%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 2.5+ pts
54%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 3+ pts
46%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 3.5+ pts
43%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 4+ pts
38%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 5+ pts
30%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 5.5+ pts
29%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 1+ pts
26%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 6+ pts
25%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 7+ pts
20%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 8+ pts
18%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 2+ pts
15%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 3+ pts
14%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 4+ pts
13%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 9+ pts
11%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 10+ pts
11%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 5+ pts
10%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 12+ pts
8%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 6+ pts
7%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 15+ pts
6%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 18+ pts
3%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen