🗳️ Elections
Florida Governor margin of victory
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 1.5+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
57%
No
43%
No (43%)Yes (57%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$9k
Liquidity
$8k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 57%.
About this market
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 1.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Florida Governor margin of victory
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 0.5+ pts
63%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 1+ pts
60%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 2+ pts
56%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 2.5+ pts
49%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 3.5+ pts
46%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 3+ pts
43%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 4+ pts
39%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 4.5+ pts
34%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 5+ pts
30%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 1+ pts
28%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 5.5+ pts
25%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 6+ pts
24%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 2+ pts
18%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 7+ pts
18%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 4+ pts
15%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 3+ pts
14%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 8+ pts
13%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 10+ pts
12%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 9+ pts
11%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 5+ pts
10%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 6+ pts
8%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 15+ pts
6%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 12+ pts
5%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 18+ pts
4%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$9k
Liquidity$8k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen