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Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 2+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
27%
No
73%
No (73%)Yes (27%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$7k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 27%. Kalshi has moved down 6pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 0.5+ pts
70%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 1+ pts
66%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 1.5+ pts
60%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 2+ pts
53%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 2.5+ pts
49%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 3+ pts
47%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 3.5+ pts
36%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 5+ pts
36%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 4.5+ pts
34%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 4+ pts
32%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 6+ pts
30%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 5.5+ pts
29%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 1+ pts
29%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 7+ pts
23%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 4+ pts
20%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 3+ pts
17%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 8+ pts
15%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 11+ pts
13%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 9+ pts
12%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 5+ pts
11%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 6+ pts
9%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 7+ pts
7%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Jackson, 13+ pts
5%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 12+ pts
5%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 10+ pts
4%
Maine Senate margin of victory — Collins, 8+ pts
4%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
27%
probability of YES
Kalshi
27%Check
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$7k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen