🗳️ Elections
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Brendan Carr

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
7%
No
93%
No (93%)Yes (7%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$244
Liquidity
$4k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 7%. Kalshi has moved down 5pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Brendan Carr leaves as Chairman of the FCC before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Todd Blanche
63%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Ric Grenell
59%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Trent McCotter
50%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Pete Hegseth
46%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Stanley Woodward
42%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Susie Wiles
40%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Amy Gleason
39%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Sergio Gor
29%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Mike Waltz
27%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Dan Caine
27%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Brad Cooper
25%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Tilman Fertitta
24%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Steve Witkoff
22%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Brooke Rollins
22%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Marco Rubio
21%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Stephen Miller
21%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Christopher Landau
21%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kevin Hassett
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Rodney Scott
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Howard Lutnick
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kelly Loeffler
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kash Patel
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Scott Turner
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
19%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Tom Homan
19%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Peter Navarro
18%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Linda McMahon
18%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Joe Gebbia
17%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Bill Pulte
17%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Doug Collins
16%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
7%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$244
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen