🗳️ Elections
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Scott Bessent
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$10k
Liquidity
$46k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 6%. Kalshi has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Scott Bessent leaves as Secretary of the Treasury before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Todd Blanche
63%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Ric Grenell
59%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Trent McCotter
50%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Pete Hegseth
46%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Stanley Woodward
42%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Susie Wiles
40%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Amy Gleason
39%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Sergio Gor
29%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Dan Caine
27%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Mike Waltz
27%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Brad Cooper
25%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Tilman Fertitta
24%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Brooke Rollins
22%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Steve Witkoff
22%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Marco Rubio
21%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Stephen Miller
21%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Christopher Landau
21%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kevin Hassett
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Scott Turner
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kelly Loeffler
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Rodney Scott
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Howard Lutnick
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kash Patel
20%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Tom Homan
19%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
19%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Peter Navarro
18%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Linda McMahon
18%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Joe Gebbia
17%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Bill Pulte
17%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Mike Huckabee
16%
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$10k
Liquidity$46k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen