🗳️ Elections
Closest Senate race in 2026?

Closest Senate race in 2026? — Alaska

Live
Resolves Jan 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
8%
No
92%
No (92%)Yes (8%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$172
Liquidity
$18k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 8%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Alaska has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Closest Senate race in 2026?

Closest Senate race in 2026? — Texas
14%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Iowa
13%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Ohio
11%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Michigan
9%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Nebraska
8%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Maine
8%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Kansas
7%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — New Hampshire
6%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — South Carolina
4%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Florida
3%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Minnesota
3%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Idaho
2%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Montana
2%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — North Carolina
2%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Georgia
2%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — South Dakota
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
8%
probability of YES
Kalshi
8%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$172
Liquidity$18k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen