🗳️ Elections
Closest Senate race in 2026?
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Arkansas
Live
Resolves Jan 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$9k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 1%.
About this market
If Arkansas has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Closest Senate race in 2026?
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Iowa
17%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Texas
12%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Kansas
11%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Maine
10%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Michigan
9%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Nebraska
8%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Ohio
8%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Alaska
7%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — South Carolina
6%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Minnesota
5%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — New Hampshire
3%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Florida
2%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Louisiana
2%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Mississippi
2%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — North Carolina
2%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Georgia
1%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Montana
1%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — South Dakota
1%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Idaho
1%
Resolution
Jan 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$9k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen