🗳️ Elections
Closest Senate race in 2026?

Closest Senate race in 2026? — Ohio

Live
Resolves Jan 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
11%
No
89%
No (89%)Yes (11%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$115
Liquidity
$20k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 11%.

About this market

If Ohio has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Closest Senate race in 2026?

Closest Senate race in 2026? — Texas
14%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Iowa
13%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Michigan
9%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Nebraska
8%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Maine
8%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Alaska
8%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Kansas
7%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — New Hampshire
6%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — South Carolina
4%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Florida
3%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Minnesota
3%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Idaho
2%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Montana
2%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — North Carolina
2%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Georgia
2%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — South Dakota
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
11%
probability of YES
Kalshi
11%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$115
Liquidity$20k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen