🗳️ Elections
Closest Senate race in 2026?
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Michigan
Live
Resolves Jan 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
9%
No
91%
No (91%)Yes (9%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$9k
Liquidity
$68k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 9%.
About this market
If Michigan has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Closest Senate race in 2026?
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Kansas
16%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Iowa
15%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Texas
11%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Ohio
10%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Maine
9%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — South Carolina
8%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Alaska
8%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Nebraska
7%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Mississippi
4%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Florida
4%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Montana
2%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — New Hampshire
2%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Minnesota
2%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Arkansas
1%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Louisiana
1%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Idaho
1%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — South Dakota
1%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Georgia
0%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — North Carolina
0%
Resolution
Jan 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$9k
Liquidity$68k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen