🗳️ Elections
Closest Senate race in 2026?
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Iowa
Live
Resolves Jan 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
13%
No
87%
No (87%)Yes (13%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$16k
Liquidity
$92k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 13%. Kalshi has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Iowa has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Closest Senate race in 2026?
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Kansas
15%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Texas
9%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — South Carolina
9%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Maine
9%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Michigan
9%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Alaska
8%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Nebraska
7%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Ohio
7%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Mississippi
4%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Florida
4%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Montana
3%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — North Carolina
3%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Minnesota
2%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — New Hampshire
2%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — South Dakota
1%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Idaho
1%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Louisiana
1%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Arkansas
1%
Closest Senate race in 2026? — Georgia
1%
Resolution
Jan 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$16k
Liquidity$92k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen