🗳️ Elections
Texas Senate margin of victory
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 11+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
96%
No
4%
No (4%)Yes (96%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$140k
Liquidity
$50k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 96%.
About this market
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Texas Senate margin of victory
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 4+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 3+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 1+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 0.5+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 1.5+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 3.5+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 5.5+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 2+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 5+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 4.5+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 2.5+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 6+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 6.5+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 7+ pts
99%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 8+ pts
99%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 9+ pts
96%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 10+ pts
80%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 12+ pts
38%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 13+ pts
8%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 14+ pts
5%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 15+ pts
2%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 16+ pts
1%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$140k
Liquidity$50k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen