🗳️ Elections
Texas Senate margin of victory
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 12+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
37%
No
63%
No (63%)Yes (37%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$277k
Liquidity
$109k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 37%.
About this market
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Texas Senate margin of victory
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 4+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 3+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 1+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 0.5+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 1.5+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 3.5+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 5.5+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 2+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 5+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 4.5+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 2.5+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 6+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 6.5+ pts
100%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 7+ pts
99%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 8+ pts
99%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 9+ pts
96%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 10+ pts
80%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 11+ pts
71%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 13+ pts
8%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 14+ pts
5%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 15+ pts
2%
Texas Senate margin of victory — James Talarico, 16+ pts
1%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$277k
Liquidity$109k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen