🗳️ Elections
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jan 1, 2027
Live
Resolves Jan 5, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
9%
No
91%
No (91%)Yes (9%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$16k
Liquidity
$1.3m
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 9%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jan 1, 2029
69%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jul 1, 2028
62%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jan 1, 2028
53%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Dec 1, 2027
48%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Nov 1, 2027
47%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Oct 1, 2027
47%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Sep 1, 2027
46%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Aug 1, 2027
40%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jul 1, 2027
37%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jun 1, 2027
33%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before May 1, 2027
27%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Apr 1, 2027
24%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Mar 1, 2027
20%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Feb 1, 2027
12%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Dec 1, 2026
3%
Resolution
Jan 5, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$16k
Liquidity$1.3m
CategoryElections
StatusOpen