🗳️ Elections
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Apr 1, 2027
Live
Resolves Apr 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
18%
No
82%
No (82%)Yes (18%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$287
Liquidity
$261k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 18%.
About this market
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before April 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jul 1, 2028
57%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jan 1, 2029
57%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jan 1, 2028
48%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Nov 1, 2027
42%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Dec 1, 2027
40%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Oct 1, 2027
37%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jul 1, 2027
33%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Sep 1, 2027
33%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Aug 1, 2027
32%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jun 1, 2027
24%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before May 1, 2027
18%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Mar 1, 2027
12%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Feb 1, 2027
8%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jan 1, 2027
8%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Dec 1, 2026
4%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Nov 1, 2026
1%
Resolution
Apr 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$287
Liquidity$261k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen