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Market Closed
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🗳️ Elections
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Nov 1, 2026
Closed
Resolves Nov 3, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Closed
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$934k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 1%.
About this market
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jan 1, 2029
69%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jul 1, 2028
62%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jan 1, 2028
56%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Dec 1, 2027
49%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Nov 1, 2027
47%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Oct 1, 2027
47%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Sep 1, 2027
46%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jul 1, 2027
38%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Aug 1, 2027
36%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jun 1, 2027
33%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before May 1, 2027
27%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Apr 1, 2027
25%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Mar 1, 2027
20%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Feb 1, 2027
10%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jan 1, 2027
9%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Dec 1, 2026
2%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2026
closed
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$934k
CategoryElections
StatusClosed