🗳️ Elections
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Dec 1, 2027
Live
Resolves Dec 7, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
49%
No
51%
No (51%)Yes (49%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$3k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 49%.
About this market
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before December 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jan 1, 2029
66%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jul 1, 2028
63%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jan 1, 2028
55%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Nov 1, 2027
45%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Oct 1, 2027
44%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Sep 1, 2027
42%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jul 1, 2027
41%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Aug 1, 2027
39%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jun 1, 2027
30%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before May 1, 2027
26%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Apr 1, 2027
23%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Mar 1, 2027
17%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Feb 1, 2027
13%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Jan 1, 2027
7%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Dec 1, 2026
3%
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal? — Before Nov 1, 2026
2%
Resolution
Dec 7, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen