🗳️ Elections
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Tilman Fertitta

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
27%
No
73%
No (73%)Yes (27%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$67
Liquidity
$169

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 27%.

About this market

If Tilman Fertitta leaves as Ambassador to Italy before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Ric Grenell
67%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Susie Wiles
46%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Mike Waltz
45%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Pete Hegseth
36%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Amy Gleason
31%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kevin Hassett
30%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Doug Collins
26%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Bill Pulte
24%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Mike Huckabee
21%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Joe Gebbia
21%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Brooke Rollins
18%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Linda McMahon
18%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Steve Witkoff
18%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Howard Lutnick
17%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kash Patel
17%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
16%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Chris Wright
16%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Tom Homan
16%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Kelly Loeffler
15%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Scott Turner
15%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Sean Duffy
14%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Peter Navarro
14%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — John Ratcliffe
14%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Russell Vought
13%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Rodney Scott
13%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Marco Rubio
13%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Steven Cheung
12%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Doug Burgum
12%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Jamieson Greer
12%
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Mehmet Oz
11%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
27%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$67
Liquidity$169
CategoryElections
StatusOpen