🗳️ Elections
Florida Governor margin of victory
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 10+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
15%
No
85%
No (85%)Yes (15%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$723
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 15%.
About this market
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Florida Governor margin of victory
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 0.5+ pts
70%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 1+ pts
69%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 1.5+ pts
63%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 2.5+ pts
62%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 2+ pts
60%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 3+ pts
50%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 3.5+ pts
48%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 4.5+ pts
44%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 4+ pts
42%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 5+ pts
34%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 6+ pts
29%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 5.5+ pts
28%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 8+ pts
26%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 7+ pts
23%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 1+ pts
17%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 9+ pts
15%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 2+ pts
14%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 3+ pts
12%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 4+ pts
10%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 6+ pts
10%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 12+ pts
8%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 15+ pts
6%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 18+ pts
4%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 5+ pts
3%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$723
CategoryElections
StatusOpen