🗳️ Elections
Florida Governor margin of victory
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 2.5+ pts
Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
49%
No
51%
No (51%)Yes (49%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$17k
Liquidity
$14k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 49%.
About this market
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Florida by 2.5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Florida Governor margin of victory
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 0.5+ pts
64%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 1+ pts
61%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 2+ pts
58%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 1.5+ pts
58%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 3+ pts
48%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 3.5+ pts
43%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 4+ pts
38%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 4.5+ pts
32%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 5+ pts
30%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 5.5+ pts
30%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 1+ pts
27%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 6+ pts
24%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 7+ pts
19%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 2+ pts
18%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 8+ pts
16%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 3+ pts
13%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 9+ pts
12%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 10+ pts
12%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 4+ pts
10%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 5+ pts
10%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 12+ pts
8%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Jolly, 6+ pts
6%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 15+ pts
6%
Florida Governor margin of victory — Donalds, 18+ pts
3%
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$17k
Liquidity$14k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen