🗳️ Elections
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026? — ADS-B revenue-use restriction

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
30%
No
70%
No (70%)Yes (30%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
Liquidity
$161

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 30%.

About this market

If legislation that bars government agencies or private entities from using ADS-B aircraft-tracking data to identify aircraft for the purpose of obtaining revenue from the aircraft owner or operator without consent has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026? — Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions
69%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — College sports federalization
50%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Credit-card routing competition
46%
Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?
43%
Will Export-control chip security become law this year?
31%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — AI-chip export licensing
29%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Export-control chip security
27%
Will the NO FAKES Act become law this year?
22%
Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?
21%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Insulin cost cap
20%
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
18%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — NO FAKES Act
17%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Data center utility cost protection
16%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Surface transportation reauthorization
16%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act
15%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Film/TV production expensing
13%
Will the SHOWER Act become law this year?
12%
Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year?
12%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)
12%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Critical-minerals stockpile
12%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — E15 year-round sales
11%
Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Railway safety bill
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund fee
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — White House ballroom funding
10%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Fort Bragg → Fort Liberty
10%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — JAWBONE Act
8%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — SHOWER Act
7%
Will $2.50 Coin become law this year?
7%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Jewish American security
7%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
30%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity$161
CategoryElections
StatusOpen