🗳️ Elections
Which bills will become law in 2026?

Which bills will become law in 2026? — FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
12%
No
88%
No (88%)Yes (12%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$34
Liquidity
$46k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 12%. Kalshi has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, for two years has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Which bills will become law in 2026?

Will Export-control chip security become law this year?
47%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Export-control chip security
41%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions
27%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Protect College Sports Act
21%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Data center utility cost protection
19%
Will Data center utility cost protection become law this year?
17%
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?
17%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — ADS-B revenue-use restriction
16%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — AI-chip export licensing
14%
Will AI-chip export licensing become law this year?
13%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Railway safety bill
13%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Film/TV production expensing
13%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act
13%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Dignity Act
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — E15 year-round sales
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — NO FAKES Act
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Surface transportation reauthorization
11%
Will the NO FAKES Act become law this year?
11%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — White House ballroom funding
10%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — JAWBONE Act
10%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Credit-card routing competition
9%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Fort Bragg → Fort Liberty
9%
Will Credit-card routing competition become law this year?
9%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Insulin cost cap
8%
Will the Critical-minerals stockpile become law this year?
8%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Critical-minerals stockpile
8%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund fee
7%
Which bills will become law in 2026? — Jewish American security
7%
Will $2.50 Coin become law this year?
7%
Will Film/TV production expensing become law this year?
6%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
12%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$34
Liquidity$46k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen